000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281134
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 AM PST Wed Nov 28 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A westward-moving low pressure system located about 400 miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Upper-level winds have
become less conducive for development, and tropical cyclone
formation is becoming less likely.  However, shower activity
associated with the disturbance is still forecast to move
northeastward toward southwestern Mexico today through Thursday,
bringing locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Mexican states
of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains could result
in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart