000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311115
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Oct 31 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized.  Upper-level
winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for some slow
development of this system over the next couple of days while it
moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred
miles south and southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next several days, and a
tropical depression could form later this week or this weekend while
it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg