000
ABPZ20 KNHC 162316
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Oct 16 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Tara, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico.

A tropical wave is producing widespread showers over Central
America, southeastern Mexico, and the far eastern North Pacific
Ocean. The wave is forecast to move westward over the eastern
Pacific during the next few days, and a low pressure system is
expected to develop a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala
and southeastern Mexico by late Wednesday or early Thursday.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
additional development after that time, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by Friday while the system moves generally
west-northwestward, near or just offshore the coast of southern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A nearly stationary weak area of low pressure located about 900
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity.  Some
slow development of this system is possible while it drifts
northward or north-northeastward during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky