565 
ABPZ20 KNHC 152312
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Sep 15 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles
southwest of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the
middle of next week while it moves generally northwestward at about
10 mph.  Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg