178 
ABPZ20 KNHC 151743
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Sep 15 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough
of low pressure. This system has become better organized since
yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development. A tropical depression is likely to form by
Tuesday while the system moves generally west-northwestward at about
10 mph.  Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake