991 ABPZ20 KNHC 151145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Sep 15 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and environmental conditions appear conducive for further development. A tropical depression is likely to form by Tuesday while the system moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake