540 
ABPZ20 KNHC 142315
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Sep 14 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disturbed weather is centered several hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the middle of next week while the system moves
generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph south and west of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg