013 
ABPZ20 KNHC 030511
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur.

A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days as it moves
slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. By early next week,
proximity to another low pressure system could limit further
development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized.
However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by early next week while it moves west-
northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky