909 
ABPZ20 KNHC 021747
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja
California Sur.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a tropical wave
located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development of this system during the next few days as it moves
generally westward to west-northwestward across the tropical eastern
Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure
system could limit further development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec shows no signs of organization. However,
environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
significant development for the next several days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while it moves
west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake