902 
ABPZ20 KNHC 021147
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on strengthening
Tropical Storm Hector, located well southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred
miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a
tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive
for gradual development of this system during the next few days as
it moves generally westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. By
early next week, proximity to another low pressure system
could limit further development of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression
is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward
off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake