584 
ABPZ20 KNHC 300500
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are currently
only marginally favorable and any development should be slow to
occur over the next couple of days.  By mid-week, conditions could
become a little more conducive for development while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Gradual development
of this system is possible thereafter as it moves west-northwestward
off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown