645 ABPZ20 KNHC 232343 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jul 23 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A westward-moving area of disorganized thunderstorms is associated with a small low pressure system located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Although satellite-derived winds indicate that this disturbance is producing gale-force wind gusts in some of the stronger squalls to the south of the center, tropical cyclone development is unlikely before the system reaches the Central Pacific in a couple of days due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A weak low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Associated shower activity is currently disorganized, and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart