278 
ABPZ20 KNHC 190501
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 18 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms centered about 1250 miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.  This system continues to
show some signs of organization, and further development is possible
during the next several days while it moves quickly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form this weekend several
hundred miles southwest of Mexico.  Environmental conditions
should support some slow development of this system early next week
while it moves westward or west-northwestward well southwest of
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Another area of low pressure is likely to form early next week
several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.
Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system next
week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake