788 
ABPZ20 KNHC 180500
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 17 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A small area of showers and thunderstorms is associated with a
surface low located about 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula. Significant development of
this system is not expected before upper-level winds become
unfavorable for further organization late on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Disorganized cloudiness and showers centered about 1000 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to become somewhat conducive for development of this system
by the weekend while it moves quickly westward at low latitudes.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An area of low pressure is forecast to form late this week several
hundred miles southwest of Mexico.  Some slow development of this
system is possible by early next week while it moves westward or
west-northwestward well south of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake