000 ABPZ20 KNHC 141156 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jun 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bud, located about a hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be somewhat conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or so while the low moves slowly northwestward near or over the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rain causing flash floods and mudslides is likely over the southern portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Oaxaca through the weekend. Potential tropical cyclone advisories could be initiated on this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake