000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101720
TWOEP 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1020 AM PDT Thu May 10 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Although the shower activity associated with the broad area of low
pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula has increased this morning, the
low-level circulation is elongated and remains poorly defined.
However, only a small increase in organization could lead to the
formation of a tropical depression later today or early Friday
before the upper-level winds become highly unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation. This system should move slowly toward the
west-northwest or northwest during the next couple of days. Another
Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued
by 11 AM PDT on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila