000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212334
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI OCT 21 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Numerous showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a
broad area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for development of this disturbance over the next
few days, and a tropical depression will likely form early next week
while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 10 to 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Disorganized cloudiness and showers are associated with a small low
pressure area centered about 750 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Further development
of this system is unlikely because of the inhibiting effect of
strong upper-level winds.  This low pressure area is expected to
drift northward or northwestward over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Landsea