000
ABPZ20 KNHC 190500
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 18 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A low pressure system located about 1300 miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less conducive for development during the next day or so,
and significant development of this system appears unlikely while
it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 800 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Upper-level winds
are only marginally conducive and any development of this system
should be slow to occur during the next several days while the
disturbance drifts northward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days well to
the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some gradual development of
this disturbance is possible over the weekend while the system moves
to the west-northwest at about 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown