000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160503 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2016 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Environmental conditions still appear to be conducive for some gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent $$ Forecaster Avila