000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111733
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 11 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms continue near a low pressure area
centered about 925 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. Although environmental conditions are
becoming less favorable for development, this low still has some
potential to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days before it moves west-northwestward over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a broad area
of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be generally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the weekend while the low moves westward well to the
southwest of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake