000
ABPZ20 KNHC 110531
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT MON OCT 10 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A complex area of low pressure located about 850 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms.  This disturbance
is expected to slowly consolidate while moving west-northwestward
to northwestward, and it could become a tropical depression before
it moves over cooler waters in a few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred
miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a
weak low pressure system.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be generally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the weekend while the low moves westward well to the
southwest of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart