000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240023
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI SEP 23 2016

CORRECTED OMISSION OF LAST SENTENCE OF THE SECOND PARAGRAPH

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of
low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has not become any
better organized during the past several hours.  Environmental
conditions are still expected to support the formation of a
tropical depression over the weekend.  This disturbance is moving
slowly toward the northwest at about 5 to 10 mph, and a turn toward
the north is expected in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

A weak area of low pressure is located about 1700 miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii.  Shower and
thunderstorm activity is currently limited, and environmental
conditions are expected to support only gradual development of this
disturbance over the next couple of days while it moves westward at
5 to 10 mph.  The environment is forecast to become more favorable
for the development of a tropical cyclone by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven/Zelinsky