000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151143
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU SEP 15 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Orlene, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
Acapulco, Mexico, is producing some shower and thunderstorm
activity.  Environmental conditions are expected to gradually
become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form this weekend while the low moves west-northwestward
to northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
*Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake