000
ABPZ20 KNHC 082313
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU SEP 8 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located about 700 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  This
system is currently producing a large but disorganized area of
showers and thunderstorms.  However, environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development during the next
several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early
next week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan