000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232323
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kay, located several hundred miles west of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated
with an area of low pressure.  This activity remains poorly
organized, but environmental conditions are conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the low moves west-northwestward at
around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered about 350 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to
show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions are conducive
for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during
the next day or two while this system moves westward at about 15
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila