000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231138
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Kay, located several hundred miles
west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located
about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of
low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week while the low moves west-northwestward at
around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

A broad area of low pressure located about 400 miles south-
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized
showers and a few thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during the next few days while this system moves westward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven