000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311149
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN JUL 31 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization in association with a low pressure system located about
900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Environmental conditions are conducive for development,
and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or Monday
while the low moves toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form in the next couple of
days several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system
later this week while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan