000
ABPZ20 KNHC 182328
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON JUL 18 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Darby, located almost 1500 miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Estelle, located
about 500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

A low pressure area is expected to form well south of Mexico in a
couple of days in association with a tropical wave that is currently
located near Central America over the far eastern Pacific.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south-
southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized shower
activity.  Some slow development of this system is possible
later this week while it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake