000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111750
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON JUL 11 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Celia, located more than 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased and become a little better
organized during the last several hours in association with a low
pressure system located about 300 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico.  Continued development is expected, and a
tropical depression is likely to form later today or on
Tuesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, away
from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of Mexico later this week.  Some subsequent
development of this system is possible while it moves westward to
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi