000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051748
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE JUL 5 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Blas, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area
of disturbed weather located several hundred miles south-southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for continued gradual development, and this system is
likely to become a tropical depression by the end of this week
while it moves westward and then west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain