000
ABPZ20 KNHC 152335
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUN 15 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico,
have continued to increase since yesterday and are beginning to show
some signs of organization.  Satellite-derived wind data also
indicate that the circulation has become somewhat better defined.
Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some gradual
development of this system over the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression could form later this week while the disturbance
moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph.  Over the weekend,
however, conditions are forecast to gradually become less conducive
for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart