000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050505
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUN 4 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is moving
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.  Shower and thunderstorm
activity has not become significantly better organized over the past
day or so, but a tropical depression could still form during the
next couple of days before environmental conditions become less
conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are centered several hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico.  Some gradual development of this
system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly
northeastward.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
likely later this weekend and early next week over portions of
southern Mexico and Guatemala.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Pasch