000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221731
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST SUN NOV 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Rick, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south
of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast
to become more conducive for development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form south or southwest of the
southern coast of Mexico within the next couple of days while the
disturbance moves generally westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg