000
ABPZ20 KNHC 112338
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become less organized this
afternoon in association with an area of low pressure located about
1450 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Some development of this system is still possible
overnight before environmental conditions become unfavorable later
on Wednesday while the low moves westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

A tropical wave located south of the coast of Guatemala is
producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. An area of low
pressure is forecast to form in association with this wave in a
couple of days a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of
Mexico. Environmental conditions should support development later
this week, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression
by Sunday while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake