000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081137
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST SAT NOV 8 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
system located several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico, has changed little in organization during the past several
hours.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development of this disturbance over the weekend while it moves
generally northwestward to northward at 10 to 15 mph.  By Monday
evening, however, upper-level winds are forecast to become
unfavorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven