000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071739 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM PST FRI NOV 7 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance for about the next three days while it moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven