000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041139 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 400 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Vance, located just to the east of Socorro Island. Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it moves generally north-northwestward at about 15 mph. After that time, development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi