000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031148
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PST MON NOV 3 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Vance, located several hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo,
Mexico.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a broad area of
low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system
during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward or
northwestward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less
favorable on Wednesday and development after that time is not
likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown