000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021718 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1000 AM PST SUN NOV 2 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Vance, located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1350 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have increased somewhat since yesterday. This activity remains disorganized, however, and strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to inhibit significant development of this system while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch