000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020544 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SAT NOV 1 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Vance, located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. An area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a few showers and thunderstorms. Increasing upper-level winds and dry air are expected to inhibit significant development of this system while it moves westward to west-southwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg