000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161144
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms have not become any better organized in
association with a trough of low pressure that extends from the
Gulf of Tehuantepec southwestward for several hundred miles.
Environmental conditions remain favorable for development of a
tropical cyclone somewhere within this area over the next couple of
days, and if one were to form it would likely move northward or
northwestward toward the coast of Mexico.  Regardless of whether or
not development occurs, heavy rains are likely along portions of the
Pacific coast of Mexico from the Gulf of Tehuantepec westward over
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Franklin