000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160531
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with an elongated area of low pressure is located a few
hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for the gradual development of this system
into a tropical depression over the next couple of days as it moves
northwestward or northward toward the coast of Mexico.  Regardless
of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, heavy rains will spread
across southwestern Mexico over the next few days.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts