000
ABPZ20 KNHC 151713
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED OCT 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Extensive but disorganized shower activity continues in association
with an elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south and southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Upper-level winds
are favorable for development, and a gradual consolidation of this
system into a tropical depression is possible over the next couple
of days as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward.
Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, shower
activity is likely to spread toward and across the southwestern
coast of Mexico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Franklin