000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212328
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Polo, located about 150 miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

A broad low pressure area located several hundred miles south-
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected
to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the next several days as the low moves west-
northwestward around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown