000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021134 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2014 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have recently increased near a low pressure area producing gale-force winds, located about 200 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. If current trends continue, advisories will be initiated on a tropical storm later this morning. This system is expected to move slowly northward and then northwestward near the southwestern coast of Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula during the next few days, and interests in these areas should monitor the progress of the disturbance. Locally heavy rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides over portions of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && For additional information on the low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Blake