000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012343
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of showers and thunderstorms near the southwestern
coast of Mexico is associated with a trough of low pressure.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form later this week.  This disturbance is expected to move slowly
northward and then northwestward and could produce locally heavy
rains over portions of southwestern Mexico during the next few
days.  These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud
slides.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi