000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211733
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located more than a thousand miles east-southeast of
the Big Island of Hawaii, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Lowell,
located about 800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco,
Mexico, have become a little better organized over the past few
hours.  Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and
a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Friday while the
system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch