000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171106
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located a little more than a thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure
located almost 600 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better defined.
Thunderstorm activity has continued to increase and has become a
little better organized this morning, and environmental conditions
are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form
during the next day or so while the low moves generally
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart