000
ABPZ20 KNHC 162332
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the
low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg