000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161742
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Karina, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure has formed about 500 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.  Shower activity has increased since yesterday and
environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual
development during the next several days while the low moves
generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown